Quan Ly Rui Ro He Thong (Systemic Risk) – Nghe Thuat Song Sot Qua Nhung Giai Doan Khung Hoang Dong Tien

1. Khai niem Rui ro he thong trong dau tu the thao duong dai

Trong bat ky thi truong dau tu tai chinh nao, tu chung khoan, bat dong san cho den du doan the thao tai Bongdata, rui ro luon duoc chia lam hai loai: Rui ro phi he thong (Rui ro co the kiem soat duoc bang cach phan tich ky luong thong tin tran dau) va Rui ro he thong (Systemic Risk). Rui ro he thong la nhung bien so vi mo, nhung chuoi su kien ngau nhien nam hoan toan ngoai tam kiem soat cua con nguoi, co kha nang be gay moi quy luat logic toan hoc pho bien nhat.

Trong bong da, rui ro he thong chinh la mot chuoi ngay den dui (Downswing) ky la: cac doi cua tren dong loat nga ngua trong cung mot vong dau, VAR tu choi hang loat ban thang hop le mot cach tranh cai, hoac thoi tiet bao tuyet bat ngo khien tran dau bi huy bo. Khi rui ro he thong quet qua, ngay ca nhung nha dau tu thong minh nhat, ap dung nhung cong thuc hoan hao nhat van phai doi mat voi mot chuoi thua lien tiep 7-10 tran. Viec hoc cach quan ly rui ro he thong la ranh gioi sinh ton giua mot nha dau tu chuyen nghiep va mot ke trang tay.

2. Hai nguyen tac toi thuong de song sot qua giai doan Khung hoang dong tien

He thong quan tri rui ro cua BONGDATA thiet lap hai bo quy tac nghiem ngat giup ban bao ve an toan tuyet doi cho nguon von cua minh khi gap bao:

Nguyen tac 1: Da dang hoa danh muc dau tu (Portfolio Diversification)

Tuyet doi khong bao gio don toan bo so von cua ban vao mot giai dau duy nhat (vi du chi danh moi Ngoai hang Anh). Neu vong dau do Ngoai hang Anh dien ra mot cach dien ro va bat thuong, tai khoan cua ban se chiu ton that nang ne. Hay biet cach phan bo dong tien sang cac giai dau khac nhau co tinh quy luat on dinh hon (nhu Serie A, La Liga) hoac da dang hoa sang cac loai keo phu co tinh toan hoc cao nhu Keo Phat Goc, Keo The Phat de bu tru rui ro cho nhau.

Nguyen tac 2: Quy tac Gioi han dung lo nghiem ngat (Stop-Loss Limit)

Giong nhu cac trader chuyen nghiep tren san chung khoan, ban phai thiet lap mot gioi han dung lo cho ban than theo ngay hoac theo tuan. Vi du, quy dinh neu tai khoan sut giam qua 20% tong von trong vong mot tuan, ban phai lap tuc kich hoat trang thai dung lo bang cach: dong moi lenh cuoc, tat may va ngung tham gia thi truong ngay lap tuc.

Tuyet doi khong duoc mang tu duy cay cu, co dam an xoi nap them tien de go gac trong con hoang loan, vi luc nay tam tri ban da mat di su sang suot, moi quyet dinh dua ra deu mang tinh co bac tu sat.

3. Tai cau truc tu duy va phuc hoi dong von sau khung hoang cung BONGDATA

Khi chuoi bao qua di va tam ly cua ban da dat trang thai can bang binh tinh tro lai, hay quay lai thi truong bang cach ha thap quy mo tay cuoc xuong muc toi thieu (vi du chi danh 1% von moi tran). Hay tich luy lai su tu tin va dong tien bang nhung tran cuoc co do an toan cao nhat dua tren kho du lieu chuan xac cua BONGDATA. Hay luon nho rang: "Trong dau tu, viec giu duoc tien luon quan trong hon viec kiem duoc tien". Chi can ban con von, co hoi de ban vuon len va gat hai thanh cong lon luon rong mo phia truoc.

Thong tin chi tiet: Dia Chi: 50 Nguyen Van Troi, Phuong 8, Quan Phu Nhuan, TP. Ho Chi Minh Hotline: 0702 731 948 Email: bongdata@gmail.com #bongdata #bongdatadev #kqbd #lichthidau